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#131 Re: The Garden » 2011-2012 NHL Season » 708 weeks ago

No one's talking hockey? Come on, there's a lot to talk about, like:

- I've always hated Sidney Crosby, but even I was happy for him and especially for the sport, during his return performance. Modern pro sports need true superstars and Sid is undeniably one of them.

- In general the Pens look like the best team in the East to me, and are crazy strong down the middle in a league that's lacking for centers. I've also been a Fleury doubter at times but I should've given that opinion up a long time ago.

- I'm not surprised the Caps fired Boudreau, but unless Ovie really had entirely quit on him, I think it was a bad move. Boudreau has been successful and in my opinion deserved one more playoff run with the Caps. I don't think it's up to him to spark the team, it's Ovie who sets the pulse, and he was down. If nobody could get Ovie set straight, that team was going to struggle. I don't see it as Boudreau's fault.

- I don't watch enough Western conference to comment on Carlyle's firing, but  I think the Canes were right to dump Maurice.

- Those Bobby Ryan and Jerome Iginla rumors are going to last until the deadline, aren't they?

- The Sabres' response to Lucic running Miller was a disgrace. Totally unacceptable and the Buffalo fan-base is really getting tired of looking so damn soft. We got the feel like the aggressors for once versus Philly in the playoffs, but Boston bullies us without consequences. The frustration from fans isn't helped by the fact that the Bills are soft too. We haven't had a physical team here in a long time, and when Ted Nolan coached the "hardest working team in hockey" with the Ray-May-Barnaby line was about the most fan-beloved the team has ever been. The blue-collar fanbase and the finesse style of play can mesh most of the time, but we seem like chronic wusses lately. The media is also rejoicing in the non-controversy between Miller and Enroth, which doesn't help. The city has really been overreacting this season to a team that's getting wins and is bitten by the injury bug. Oh, and I was in the crowd for the first Bruins/Sabres game after the Lucic hit, and while we honorably tried to make a statement, we don't have anyone who can intimidate Lucic or Chara and Kaleta was scratched.

What're you guys thinking about the season so far? Think the Leafs can keep it up, Neemo?

#132 Re: The Garden » Wall Street and Banks Soaring since 2009 » 711 weeks ago

Jackson certainly had the very rare strength to wield the powers of the Presidency without succumbing to the standard pressures of government, but it's hard to embrace him if just for his race relations, coming from the modern perspective.

misterID, while Paul couldn't fight through Congress or the Fed, the executive branch does enough legislating that Paul would have ample opportunity to obstruct the usual processes on his own - and bailouts or TARP would've been vetoed. He'd likely be able to muster enough Congressional support to prevent Congress from overriding him consistently. If all arms of the government (Congress, Pentagon, Executive agencies, Fed) turn against him, it'd still be open enough that people could see it. I'd at least like to go down swinging at the bankers and the military-industrial complex and the moral busybodies. But anyways, to say it succinctly, if you think Obama is different enough from W to make meaningful change in the federal government, then certainly Paul is different enough from both to also make meaningful change.

#133 The Garden » Wall Street and Banks Soaring since 2009 » 711 weeks ago

Communist China
Replies: 19

I found this article from the Washington Post very interesting:

President Obama has called people who work on Wall Street “fat-cat bankers,” and his reelection campaign has sought to harness public frustration with Wall Street. Financial executives retort that the president’s pursuit of financial regulations is punitive and that new rules may be “holding us back.”

But both sides face an inconvenient fact: During Obama’s tenure, Wall Street has roared back, even as the broader economy has struggled.

The largest banks are larger than they were when Obama took office and are nearing the level of profits they were making before the depths of the financial crisis in 2008, according to government data.

Wall Street firms — independent companies and the securities-trading arms of banks — are doing even better. They earned more in the first 21 / 2 years of the Obama administration than they did during the eight years of the George W. Bush administration, industry data show.

(See data in an Excel file here.)

Behind this turnaround, in significant measure, are government policies that helped the financial sector avert collapse and then gave financial firms huge benefits on the path to recovery. For example, the federal government invested hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars in banks — low-cost money that the firms used for high-yielding investments on which they made big profits.

Stabilizing the financial system was considered necessary to prevent an even deeper economic recession. But some critics say the Bush administration, which first moved to bail out Wall Street, and the Obama administration, which ultimately stabilized it, took a far less aggressive approach to helping the American people.

“There’s a very popular conception out there that the bailout was done with a tremendous amount of firepower and focus on saving the largest Wall Street institutions but with very little regard for Main Street,” said Neil Barofsky, the former federal watchdog for the Troubled Assets Relief Program, or TARP, the $700 billion fund used to bail out banks. “That’s actually a very accurate description of what happened.”

Neither the Bush administration nor the Obama administration, for instance, compelled banks to increase lending to consumers, known as “prime borrowers.” Such a step might have spurred spending and growth, although generating demand for loans may have proved difficult in the downturn.

A recent study by two professors at the University of Michigan found that banks did not significantly increase lending after being bailed out. Rather, they used taxpayer money, in part, to invest in risky securities that profited from short-term price movements. The study found that bailed-out banks increased their investment returns by nearly 10 percent as a result.

“If the goal was to support lending, it would have been sensible to require a portion of the money to support credit origination,” said Ran Duchin, one of the finance professors who completed the study. “Lending to prime consumers was not the most profitable use of their capital.”

Some of Wall Street’s success has moderated in recent months, with bank stock prices down and layoffs on the rise. This mostly has reflected the renewed slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and the European debt crisis buffeting global markets.

Representatives of the financial industry say regulations in last year’s Dodd-Frank legislation, which Obama pushed for and signed, also have crimped bank profits. But many analysts think the law will make the financial system more stable. The legislation, for instance, requires banks to maintain a greater capital cushion to withstand losses during bad economic times. The measure also created a regulator whose sole purpose is to police lending to ordinary Americans.

But many of the legislation’s most significant measures have yet to be put into place, and their ultimate effect on the bottom line remains unclear.

Financial firms have raised major concerns about one of the largest structural changes made by the law, the “Volcker Rule.” This measure would bar banks from engaging in trading and other speculative activity on their own behalf rather than to profit customers. But the rule’s impact could prove limited because of loopholes and exceptions allowed by lawmakers and regulators working to implement it.

Federal assistance

One of the main reasons Wall Street rebounded so quickly from its lows is government support.

Even before Obama took office, the government pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into banks. The Federal Reserve, which is independent of the administration, lowered interest rates, allowing firms to borrow money cheaply and trade with it, booking huge profits. The Fed also introduced lending programs that bolstered stock and bond markets and allowed banks to earn a steady return on reserves they kept with the central bank.

“The too-big-to-fail banks got bigger profits and avoided failure because of trillions of dollars of loans directly from the Federal Reserve,” said Linus Wilson, assistant professor of finance at University of Louisiana at Lafayette. “Today, their profits are boosted by lower borrowing costs because their managers and creditors expect a Fed lifeline when markets get jittery.”

Banks also have benefited from the large increase during the recession in unemployment insurance. Increasingly, banks offer debit cards to the unemployed to collect their government benefits. These debit cards carry a range of fees that bolster banks’ bottom lines.

What’s more, states — with their budgets shattered by the financial crisis and recession — have increasingly been moving to enroll new employees into Wall Street-run retirement accounts rather than government pension programs. That’s potentially more lucrative for Wall Street, which can charge fees for managing the savings of individual retirees.

Since Dec. 31, 2008, the largest banks — those with more than $100 billion in assets — have increased their total combined assets by about 10 percent.

As banks get larger, they can become more profitable. This is because investors tend to be more willing to lend them money at interest rates lower than those other banks are charged. There is a common perception that big banks are less risky because the government will still step in to save them if they get into financial trouble. On the flip side, under new financial regulations, the largest banks will have to hold more financial reserves than smaller banks — although precisely how much is still being discussed.

Banks’ profits up

Profits have also rebounded. The largest banks, including Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, earned $34 billion in profit in the first half of the year, nearly matching what they earned in the same period in 2007 and more than in the same period of any other year.

Securities firms — the trading arms of big banks and hundreds of other independent firms — have fared even better. They’ve generated at least $83 billion in profit during the past 21 / 2 years, compared with $77 billion during the entire Bush administration, according to data from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.

Compensation at these firms also has bounced back. Financial firms paid about $20.8 billion in bonuses for work done in 2010, according to research by the New York state comptroller. In New York City, the average Wall Street salary last year grew 16.1 percent, to $361,330, which is more than five times the average salary of a private-sector worker in the city.

By contrast, millions of Americans continue to face economic difficulties. That is fueling broad public anger at Wall Street and has given rise to the “Occupy” protest movements nationwide.

Obama’s advisers say they plan to harness this frustration in the presidential campaign by drawing a contrast with Republican candidates who favor rolling back the Dodd-Frank legislation.

“People are going to make their own judgments based on the positions that candidates take and their track record,” said David Plouffe, a senior Obama adviser. “. . .You have to look at these as comparative exercises.

“Americans want leaders who will be fair and insist on accountability on Wall Street. But Republicans, including all of their presidential candidates, have essentially said, ‘Let’s give Wall Street a blank check.’ ”

The president, however, has not shunned Wall Street. He has courted financial executives for campaign donations, including inviting them to a campaign gathering at the White House. He has attracted more money for his campaign and for the Democratic National Committee from financial firm employees than all of the GOP candidates combined — a total of $15.6 million.

Another piece of evidence against the familiar narrative of 'Democrats are trying to regulate finance fairly, but Republicans won't let them'. Obama can hide behind prospective measures of the Dodd-Frank bill but that'll only satisfy those who prefer Dems to Reps as a matter of faith. Both parties suck, and it's articles like these that make you go "at least that wouldn't happen in a Ron Paul presidency" - even if you don't like all his issues, shit like this wouldn't happen.

Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/ … print.html

#134 Re: Dust N' Bones & Cyborg Slunks » Axl and Duff SHOULD have worked on this song » 711 weeks ago

I don't see why you couldn't alternate doing an album Slash's way (quick and standard) and doing one Axl's way (long term projects, perfectionist). They seemed to try to space out their releases to keep them on the scene will working on bigger stuff anyway - with the EP Lies and Spaghetti Incident.

Especially baffling has always been Axl's response to Kurt Loder in one of the first post-Slash interviews where Axl identifies Slash as they reason they couldn't just do a quick AFD-type record. Seems like Axl is the guy that keeps that from happening.

But really if Axl had put his vocals on Snakepit or the VR stuff while working on ChiDem it could've made some great excuses for that group to tour and stay in the public eye. At the end of the day I think it was probably Slash's drug problems that ultimately made Axl have to choose a different route.

#135 Re: The Garden » 2011-2012 NFL Season Thread » 712 weeks ago

Chargers handed the game away. Not that this is at all a new revelation, but Norv Turner has to go. Too many penalties, too many drives stalling in the red zone, too many turnovers. Chiefs somehow in the division race now.

What a sloppy, surprising Monday night game. I haven't caught much of MNF this year so it was nice to watch a whole game, but the number of mistakes (and iffy calls) doesn't bode well for either team against teams in the North or East.

#136 Re: The Garden » Ron Paul proposes saving $1T by scrapping five federal departments » 714 weeks ago

First off, SS is not a pension, it's a direct transfer program. There's no fund accumulating interest - money goes in one end and comes right back out the other. Wall Street and the banks can only do 'whatever they want' with your money if you give it to them. Wall Street and DC are in bed together, shrinking one's power shrinks the other. MisterID, you're viewing government as big business's enemy when in reality it's their best friend. Eminent domain, currency manipulation, the Fed making direct investments in Goldman Sachs and other financial firms - this is where the outrage should be.

Property has diminishing marginal utility, like most things. It's most valuable per unit to those with the least of it - and Paul's federal government philosophy of strong property rights and little else would ensure no one could be stripped of their belongings just because the government says so. How and how much to regulate finance is a legitimate debate, but regulation always biases in favor of pre-existing firms, raises start-up fees for new competitors, and leads us down the 'too-big-to-fail' path.

I'm not interested in getting into a long debate because as the head of a political organization, paid political commentator for a paper, and a major in government studies, this is probably the avenue where I'll reach the smallest audience of all my political advocacy - but I just wanted to say that I think you massively misunderstand Paul and the relationship between government and business. Your arguments would logically lead to a one-world government that consumes at least 50 cents of every dollar (CBO has the US federal government spending 80 cents of every dollar in 2080 using VERY conservative spending estimates - the CBO is required by law to take promises of future spending cuts at their word, a practice they frequently bemoan in their supplementary comments. Of course, the economy would crash completely well before the government could ever spend that amount - with slightly more realistic assumptions about spending cuts the economy crashes completely in 2037 - this isn't partisan, this is CBO's results except with altered assumptions about spending cuts).

#137 Re: The Garden » Hank Williams Jr. Compares Obama to Hitler » 714 weeks ago

- SS and Medicare have traditionally paid out more to recipients than those recipients paid into the systems. This trend is ending.
- The aging of American society has made the worker-to-recipient ratios envisioned by these programs completely impossible.
- SS is not a fund you pay into, it's just redistribution, because you aren't investing in a personal portfolio. The money taken from your paycheck for it goes to current recipients, and so on and so forth.
- Of course SS and Medicare have saved lives, they cost trillions annually. If you can't save a few lives with trillions of dollars in expenditures, what can you do? Didn't Bastiat teach you about seen and unseen?
- Look at the donors to different political candidates - Paul, who you attack as 'pro-rich', gets extremely little from the wealthy and basically nothing from corporations, his funding is all grassroots, and he's gotten more donations from family of active military members than any other candidate in any election in world history
- The late 1800s and early 1900s AREN'T WHAT FREE MARKET CAPITALISM OR SMALL GOVERNMENT LOOKS LIKE. This era is NOT what Paul or any other libertarian is advocating for. We've never had the system of government or type of society you imagine libertarians fantasize about.
- Name another prominent politician that publicly warned about the housing bubble in the early 00s - no one did with the specificity, regularity, or emphasis that Paul did. He understands the business cycle. None of the others up there do, Obama included.
- Obviously any repeal of SS and Medicare would require giving people a lump sum refund of the money they've put into the system. Then there's no reason to say everyone would be losers and drop dead. You'd have all the money you ever paid in. The problem is that they don't have that money, but it isn't a secure fund, it is used for other programs, and it is a mandated scam that will kill my generation.

#138 Re: The Garden » 2011-2012 NHL Season » 714 weeks ago

Big congratulations to Winnipeg for their first win tonight! I hate Pittsburgh so it's extra-nice. Sabres finally beat the Pens Saturday after a year where Pittsburgh was a perfect 4-0 versus Buffalo - but Enroth in net in place of Miller, he had the best showing versus Pittsburgh last season as well. Sabres look to be as good as advertised, although Luke Adam has been doing what people were talking about Ville Leino doing while Leino centers the team's weakest line so far - and not without good talent, Tyler Ennis and Brad Boyes are decent players and Ennis could score 30 this year I think. It's the best time to be a Sabres fan ever with all Terry Pegula has put into the franchise - the new locker room and facilities are unbelievable, the salary splurge, even if unwise (and given how each offseason breaks records for salaries, I don't think they're unwise - in 3 years those deals will be average for any top-6 or top-4 guys) - it all really makes us feel like that constant burden of being a 'small market' team (whether Sabres or Bills) being lifted. It's kinda liberating in a way.

Glad hockey's back - although the NFL does usually retain my focus (other than the Sabres) until January-February, I love hockey season.

#139 Re: The Garden » Hank Williams Jr. Compares Obama to Hitler » 714 weeks ago

Government and big business will always be in bed together. Whatever power the government has will attract the power-hungry, so making it bigger to limit the influence of society's 'evil' doers is only going to give them more incentive to pervert the system. And you'll never be able to incentivize the less-powerful everymen to be vigilant enough to keep regulation out of the hands of powerful firms.

Small government is the only answer, and abolishing the Fed would be a great first step. The Gold Standard, or the Friedman rule, would be better alternatives.

Law enforcement and social safety nets have more-or-less always existed (social safety nets used to be more of a Church function). What's new is the world's highest incarceration rate and bankrupt entitlements  that you can't opt out of.

Tell me, or most people my age, that they could opt out of Social Security and/or Medicare, and we'd be out tomorrow. They're WORSE than pyramid schemes - which at least I can say no to. Persistent war and persistent debt are the means to which the many fall under the control of the few, which I think is a bad thing.

Government, religion, business - they're all kind of the same to me. You can't use one to improve the others.

EDIT: To anyone who says Ron Paul is "crazy" - compare his OLD statements and predictions with reality, and those of other politicians. I assert that no one running for President in my lifetime has a better rate of prediction. He was against the change made to Glass-Steagall that you seem upset about, I don't really think it was a very big factor compared to Fannie, Freddie, and the Fed.

#140 Re: The Garden » 2011-2012 NFL Season Thread » 714 weeks ago

Even with how he'd struggled during the game, as soon as the Cowboys let the Patriots have the final possession in a one-possession game, I knew the Pats had the game. That's been true since 2003 - with the exception of the AFC Championship game the year the Colts won the SB. Give Brady a chance to win the game and he will. Week 3 I remember praying during video review that Freddy Jackson DIDN'T score a TD with about 1:20 left. Had he scored, and the Pats got the ball, they'd have scored and forced OT. You HAVE to have last possession against that guy.

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