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#171 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
Randall Flagg wrote:So rather than just post about something I spent 3 minutes reading on the shitter, I spent the past 1.5 hours researching COVID-19 numbers in the US and the EU. I did this because this is the only sane comparison you can make between the US and any other similarly populated and geographic location. I know most of you won't even respond to this post, so the effort I've put in to it was for me, and to objectively look at the data, to have an informed basis to form more complex opinions. If you haven't done this, please don't make the false claim that I'm not informed as well as you. You don't get that platform when you're too lazy to put in the effort. I'll link to every source so you can confirm for yourself (as you should do when you are presented with any claim from any source), but if you're going to disagree with me based on the numbers, please don't pretend they don't exist.
https://i.ibb.co/rvK0L4j/EUvUS.png
The EU has approximately 26% more people than the US (346M v 329M).*1 The EU has reported 1.557M cases and 176.8K deaths for a total death per 100k count of 39.64. *2 The US has reported 2.581M cases and 126.7k dead for a total death per 100k count of 38.52.*3
That puts the EU at 39.64 dead per 100k, and the US at 38.52 dead per 100k. So pretty similar. We also see that the percent dead per group is .4% in the EU and .39% in the US. Again, pretty similar.
So off the numbers alone, you can see that the US and EU are very similar, with the US insignificantly better from a numbers point. And this doesn't account for the discrepancies in ascribing a COVID death, which is much more liberal in the US depending on state. Immediately it needs to be noted that 3 EU countries aren't reporting data: Cyprus, Czech Republic, and Luxembourg . The EU itself does not report on how many tests have been done, but this site tracked the reports from all EU nations that provide that information.*4 We see that in the US, 33.6M tests have been done, whereas total reported tests from EU countries that report their figures are 25.4M. If you want to understand why the argument that increased testing leads to more positive tests, this is it. US figures from the CDC state that of the 33.6M tests, 3.2M return positive.*5 As the US is only reporting 2.581M cases of COVID, 3.2M tests being positive means that 20% of positive patients took a duplicate positive test , and wouldn't align with the notion that "10% of people tested for COVID have it. If every test was given to one person one time, our positive test rate would be 7.6%. As the EU doesn't report positive test rates (because they don't report test amounts), I have no comparison to make. But as other areas were so similar, we can make an educated guess.
As the EU does a poor job of reporting tests and some of the individual country's data is a few weeks old, we know the total amount of tests done in the EU is higher, but not by a significant amount. So 25.4M test x 7.6% is 1.931M cases, which is roughly 400k more than is presently reported. Again, more tests, more positives. But here's the real kicker, let's compare deaths per confirmed cases. That's the apples to apples comparison you really need. The EU has 1.556M cases and 176k dead, so 11% of their cases are fatalities. The US on the other hand (which has done much more testing) has 2.581M cases, and 127K deaths, for a 4.9% death rate for confirmed cases. Maybe if someone who was in control of information had an agenda, they would intentionally omit this data in favor of counts that appear negative to their opponents.
If anything, the EU has handled the COVID Pandemic worse than the US, and many European countries don't enforce mask wear which is mandated at least in Western Pennsylvania, which broke 100 new cases for the first time since our first positive in March.
So my position is that a virus that kills .39% of the population, 81% of which is over the age of 65, doesn't justify draconian measures and the absolute hale of the economy and more importantly, daily life.*6
1.) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demograph … pean_Union and https://www.census.gov/popclock/
2.) https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
3.) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nc … in-us.html
4.) https://www.statista.com/statistics/110 … y-country/
5.) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nc … in-us.html
6.) https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-C … /9bhg-hckuThis analysis fails to take into consideration 2 things....
1) It all hit Europe much sooner than it did us....
2) An intentional misleading of the trends going on very recently....we were not asking for an over all analysis.
Nobody cares what you asked for. Sit down son.
#172 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
PaSnow wrote:mitchejw wrote:You're a prick...never...ever forget that....prick...
Its such a dumb argument I've seen already.
In a nutshell:
50,000 people tested, 500 deaths.
100,000 people tested, 700 deaths.See, less people are dying from it!! Whoo-hoooo.
Uhm, no, more people are dying from it.
Nuhh-uhhh, 700 is only .0007% percentile, whereas before it was .001%
Yes, but 700 is more than 500.He never has a point...he's an instigator cock sucker...for 3 months now he's been trying to pretend none of this is real and prove through his youtube research that he knows better....
Not a single criticism of Trump or his administration's handling of anything....but plenty of criticism for you and me.
Deny the spikes
Deny the numbers
Deny the virus
Deny everything
This isn't even close to true.
But you are giving the reported button a workout today. The homophobic slur was a nice touch for a liberal...
#173 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
Facts boys, facts. When you ain't got none, go with the personal attacks.
Bye! Have a great day.
#174 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
People who don't know love words like could and might. It's how they exaggerate things to keep people in fear when reality doesn't tell the story they want told. MSM has this down to a science; unfortunately they don't listen to actual science.
#175 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
buzzsaw wrote:All these cases over the last month...how many deaths?
128,000
In the last month? Interesting.
Have a good day.
#176 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 260 weeks ago
From 13 weeks ago: http://www.gnrevolution.com/viewtopic.p … 04#p327304
buzzsaw wrote:PaSnow wrote:Lol, so NYC, CHI, CA & Seattle are at fault due to their government & not their populations high proportionality of international travel and asian populations?
See, it begins there, then spreads to rural America, and it will spread. Only by then those other areas will be cleaning up from it and moving along.
This is why we have a CDC & HHS, which when the facts soon come out, will show Trump ignored.
Btw, Kushner was in charge.
LolWhat?
Nobody has a fucking clue, but you've figured it all out. Brilliant!
Hey buzzsaw, it's almost as if, like a poster here, had a pretty good grasp on how a virus spreads, and that a Federal strategy is needed to contain it and prevent it from spreading, but there was this narrow minded isolationists, who went ahead & said no, that the fault lies with the local NY & CA government, that they were just doing a bad job & to blame for it. Nothing would happen outside of NYC & LA etc being infected.
That went well.
I know - they STILL don't have a clue, but here you are declaring a false victory. Equally brilliant.
All these cases over the last month...how many deaths?
#177 Re: The Garden » Anyone use Reddit? » 261 weeks ago
I had a account for when I was active playing Madden, but since I gave up on that game in January, I haven't bothered looking at it. Tip: avoid the political threads like the plague. We're all best friends compared to what I saw there.
#178 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 261 weeks ago
I find myself on here on my phone more often now and it's quite a chore to write long posts on a phone. I hate it. I don't think I'm in the minority on that one ....
You're not. I started a post the other day and deleted it because I wasn't going to go as deep as I needed to on my phone.
#179 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 261 weeks ago
So...
...I tried to start on discussion that doesn't seem to be drawing any interest right now in spite of heightened awareness around the subject. We'll scrap that for now.
My new idea...and this will require a very long post from anyone wishing to participate, so it may not be for anyone either. Part of me thinks the discussion should happen here as it's very relevant to the topics here, but part of me thinks it will get lost in the garbage that exists in much of this thread.
People believe what they believe on a lot of these hot topic issues based on personal experiences. While personal experiences aren't always a reflection of the bigger picture, they are always the reality of the little picture. I think if we understood where we came from, it would go a long way to understanding why we see things the way we see them.
Doing this would require some trust - and I know this will be an issue for some people (including myself) that nothing shared will be used against them here or (more importantly) in the real world. If you want to have real discussion, this is the price for it. For this reason alone, I don't think this will ever happen, but I am willing to start/lead the discussion if we can find a way to do so safely.
I've been told many times that I don't take a stance on things. That's not true, but I believe what I believe for a reason. Some of them I have shared already, some I haven't. One doesn't need to be an extremist to take a stance. Is anyone ready to have real discussion or do we just want to pretend we are doing something while talking about and doing things that don't change anything?
#180 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 261 weeks ago
We need a viable third party candidate.
Jesus Christ could run as a third party and lose. Fear is dictating all decisions these days.