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#461 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 255 weeks ago
gd. he might has well have written Game Of Thrones, or the harry potter series
i'll read it when i can, wtf was that horseshit lol, makin us all "read" n shit. jk
Since George RR Martin didn't release The Winds of Winter, the least I could do is prevent The Winds of Shit from blowing in our faces.
#462 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 255 weeks ago
Continued vagaries, moral posturing, and complete lack of evidence for any of your dumb claims.
Just like anything else in life I refer out to experts when needed.
Which experts are you referring to? I would like you to be specific.
The CDC and the WHO didn’t recommend masks for the general public until mid-to-late May. Prior to then, politicians and these very “experts” from the CDC, WHO, the US Surgeon General, and the UK’s NHS were recommending against masks, saying the evidence was quite weak in support of their efficacy. Pepperidge Farms remembers.
It wasn’t until the mythical curve was already significantly flattening that the use of masks was made mandatory. The argument can only be mounted that masks accelerated the slope of the curve as it was already trending in that direction. Additional measures not just related to private businesses were instituted in June when the death toll was further flatlining which it has continued to do up to today. But back when they did make masks mandatory, they didn’t mandate any standard of mask. This isn’t insignificant. We’ll return to this later.
It wasn’t until the beginning of July until the WHO started to revise their official position. The science still isn’t exactly clear. But what is clear is that they resisted the findings until they could no longer do so.
The World Health Organization has long held that the coronavirus is spread primarily by large respiratory droplets that, once expelled by infected people in coughs and sneezes, fall quickly to the floor.
But in an open letter to the W.H.O., 239 scientists in 32 countries have outlined the evidence showing that smaller particles can infect people, and are calling for the agency to revise its recommendations. The researchers plan to publish their letter in a scientific journal next week.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/04/heal … borne.html
After several months of pressure from scientists, on July 9, the W.H.O. changed its position — going from denial to grudging partial acceptance: “Further studies are needed to determine whether it is possible to detect viable SARS-CoV-2 in air samples from settings where no procedures that generate aerosols are performed and what role aerosols might play in transmission.”
…
In a peer-reviewed study published in Nature on Wednesday, researchers at the University of Nebraska Medical Center found that aerosols collected in the hospital rooms of Covid-19 patients contained the coronavirus.
This confirms the results of a study from late May (not peer-reviewed) in which Covid-19 patients were found to release SARS-CoV-2 simply by exhaling — without coughing or even talking. The authors of that study said the finding implied that airborne transmission “plays a major role” in spreading the virus.
…
It’s not clear just how much this coronavirus is transmitted by aerosols as opposed to droplets or via contact with contaminated surfaces. Then again, we still don’t know the answer to that question even for the flu, which has been studied for decades.
But by now we do know this much: Aerosols matter in the transmission of Covid-19 — and probably even more so than we have yet been able to prove.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/30/opin … osols.html
(Yes, I’m aware the article recommends masks.)
In short, over the past 3+ months we’ve seen about face both in fundamental assumptions about the virus and recommended treatment, i.e. including but not limited to, endorsement of masks from the experts. This, at minimum is evidence that there is really no scientific consensus like you so confidently and idiotically claim.
Furthermore since then the death totals have gone to a crawl and we’ve seen many false positives with testing, misattributed deaths (see: Birx’s policies to mark all deaths as Corona deaths if the deceased tests positive), an insubstantial increase in post-winter all-cause mortalities which undermines the overall credibility of both the virus and the idea of the virus as a pandemic, the decrease in reported annual post-winter disease mortalities which partially explains some misreported COVID deaths, and a deliberate misrepresentation of all aspects of the virus from various parties in the media and government for political purposes. But you know… “science”.
The scientific/medical community overwhelmingly says that wearing masks is the most effective way to deal with this pandemic.
Show me one scientific journal which clearly mentions the efficacy of masks. One.
They all make an "aww shucks, gee golly you should use them" admission and sidestep the fact that they have no evidence.
The most intellectual ones will cite a minor benefit of x<6%.
We've watched 160,000 Americans die because of an abysmal failure of our government
If you would like to blame the Trump administration go ahead. For the record, I think the guy is ineffectual and unqualified for his position and I think Hillary and Trump’s predecessors are warmongering psychopaths who all deserve to be in prison. But if you want to blame Trump and politics costing American lives, be sure to include state governors of the Democratic party in New York, California, and Michigan in your calculation as their policies intermixed COVID-positive patients with negative patients in senior citizen and assisted living homes leading to an inflation of cases and deaths. They topped this genius move by releasing violent criminals from prison, back out onto the street which reoffended in the worst ways possible, most recently a murder-suicide of the murderers rape victim which put him in prison in the first place. And then they put the cherry on top of the proverbial sundae when they admonished people to go protest in the streets. If the virus were a serious existential threat, these politicians would be tacitly recommending their constituency risk certain infection and death. lulz.
But to the broader point of politicization of the situation, here’s one article of many.
Henry Ford defends hydroxychloroquine study, 'saddened' by drug's politicization
Henry Ford Health System defended Monday a study that determined hydroxychloroquine was effective in lowering COVID-19 death rates but acknowledged the need for additional clinical trials.
…
"Unfortunately, the political climate that has persisted has made any objective discussion about this drug impossible, and we are deeply saddened by this turn of events," they wrote, noting researchers' goal is to "allow the science to speak for itself."
"To that end, we have made the heartfelt decision to have no further comment about this outside the medical community," the doctors said.
You can look up additional studies and infographs of countries that stopped and resumed use of hydroxychloroquine.
Maybe one day you can apply your MENSA-tier intellect and mount an argument consisting of something more than name calling, false equivalence, drawing conclusions that isn’t supported by data, and a consistent supply of straw men, but well, it’s not today.
Ok, now onto masks.
The support for masks, even through so-called evidence, will be a weak correlative effect at best. For example, to say masks are effective because one area has a more authoritarian government and greater mask adherence is irrelevant. The virus could be simply be more prevalent here or there. It doesn’t explain the data and the burden of proof to prove even correlation let alone direct causation lies on those making said claims. (By the way, the Chinese also wear masks because of air pollution which kills a million plus per year so they have a reason to wear masks religiously). A given population could also be significantly more physically fit, less unhealthy, more educated or more intelligent than a non-mask wearing population, too. Again, one variable doesn’t explain the data. Epidemiologists like to make broad recommendations whether or not it’s supported by the data because it merely sounds good and gives them something to do. They’re inverting the Precautionary Principle to justify their wages. Same with politicians and soccer moms. It creates the illusion of control and keeps the sheeple from panicking or starting to ask too many questions. You’ll see this in the journals but I’m getting ahead of myself.
Furthermore, whether they admit it or not, all these studies are flawed if you just want to study the efficacy of masks because you have a replicability error. You have no control group. You can’t measure the potency of the virus from one area to another. You don’t have the health data of each geographical area to analyze and draw any meaningful conclusions. And so on.
You yourself admit:
Symptoms are mild or the individual is simply asymptomatic.
You unwittingly undermine your entire argument. Most people who have the virus are asymptomatic. They don’t need the masks. They could’ve had the virus for months and the shedding period could be long gone. They could’ve picked it up while wearing masks during a trip to the grocery store or they could’ve picked it up getting the mail without wearing their precious face-muzzle. They don’t know, we don’t know.
What we do know is that unless you’re 60+, obese, have pre-existing medical conditions, and/or a weakened immune or respiratory system, you’re probably going to be fine. These are the only people who potentially need masks and if symptomatic, the only ones needing of isolation. A person may experience very mild symptoms, again, you don’t know the cause. It could be a common cold. If symptoms worsen, the common sense thing would be to tested immediately and take the preventative and super cheap hydroxycloroquine and/or roll the dice and pay at most $200 for an asthma steroid and antibiotics. It’s low risk, high reward, and will save you thousands of dollars circumventing our joke of a healthcare system.
If we go off the understanding that the virus is airborne and could be because of the air we expel or the air we inhale, which is the latest accepted position, not only do the 0.3 micron perforations of the better KN95s (vs. cloth or Alyssa Milano’s adorable granny knit homemade mask) are still too large to filter a 0.1 micron airborne virus. It’d prevent much larger 5.0 to 10.0 micron droplets (previous W.H.O. party line) but not air particles or air expelled via breathing. So unless you have a study from July onward, it’s likely to be operating off this same false premise. With air particles, the mask would be merely directing the expelled virus where to go. Furthermore, masks work both ways. If you argue it’s partially helping on the inhale you could easily argue the inverse that it’s also partially hurting via the exhale because you’re recirculating the air right in front of your nose and mouth and masks could cause leakage out the sides of the mask. Many journals touch on this ideas.
But you want the studies? Okay. Here are the studies.
Prior to 2020, masks were viewed as ineffectual in general and for other respiratory issues. I’ll drive down from the general to the specific as it relates to covid.
There are numerous studies which view masks as ineffectual in varying degrees for other respiratory issues, notably influenza:
“Among 2862 randomized participants, 2371 completed the study and accounted for 5180 HCW-seasons. Among outpatient health care personnel, N95 respirators vs medical masks as worn by participants in this trial resulted in no significant difference in the incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza.” (1)
“Effectiveness of N95 respirators versus surgical masks in protecting health care workers from acute respiratory infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis” (2)
“Self-reported assessment of clinical outcomes was prone to bias. Evidence of a protective effect of masks or respirators against verified respiratory infection (VRI) was not statistically significant” (3)
Cloth masks are significantly worse:
“The rates of all infection outcomes were highest in the cloth mask arm, with the rate of ILI statistically significantly higher in the cloth mask arm (relative risk (RR)=13.00, 95% CI 1.69 to 100.07) compared with the medical mask arm… Penetration of cloth masks by particles was almost 97% and medical masks 44%.” (1)
Here’s something that was written for the dental industry which was removed for Orwellian reasons such as “not being fit for the current climate” even though it clearly applies to the coronavirus / covid-19. If it truly doesn’t apply, the author and/or could’ve simply proven it instead of a claim without evidence and a cheap appeal to authority.
Dr. K Sibert, an anaesthetist with an interest in infection control, is of the opinion that many infection control rules are indeed arbitrary, not justified by the available evidence or subjected to controlled follow-up studies, but are devised, often under pressure, to give the appearance of doing something.
…
The primary reason for mandating the wearing of face masks is to protect dental personnel from airborne pathogens. This review has established that face masks are incapable of providing such a level of protection.
Source: https://archive.is/mK9db
Here's the truth from the horses mouth, arguably the most respected medical journal in the US.
We know that wearing a mask outside health care facilities offers little, if any, protection from infection.
Public health authorities define a significant exposure to Covid-19 as face-to-face contact within 6 feet with a patient with symptomatic Covid-19 that is sustained for at least a few minutes (and some say more than 10 minutes or even 30 minutes). The chance of catching Covid-19 from a passing interaction in a public space is therefore minimal. In many cases, the desire for widespread masking is a reflexive reaction to anxiety over the pandemic.
…
It is also clear that masks serve symbolic roles. Masks are not only tools, they are also talismans that may help increase health care workers’ perceived sense of safety, well-being, and trust in their hospitals.
We did state in the article that “wearing a mask outside health care facilities offers little, if any, protection from infection,” but as the rest of the paragraph makes clear, we intended this statement to apply to passing encounters in public spaces, not sustained interactions within closed environments. A growing body of research shows that the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission is strongly correlated with the duration and intensity of contact: the risk of transmission among household members can be as high as 40%, whereas the risk of transmission from less intense and less sustained encounters is below 5%.
AKA, the entire justification and rationalization for the mandate of “protecting other people” in public spaces is invalidated.
The evidence isn’t there. It never was. It’s all one big post-hoc rationalization.
I could cite so many more studies but it's clear by your string of stupid, brief sentences you've never read any of them in the first place and I'm merely wasting my time.
Instead of examining the science, Americans let politicians take their civil liberties to a paper shredder, let the power hungry not only abuse their power but seize more of it, let corporations astroturf small businesses, and let douchebags like Steve Mnuchin and Lindsay Graham lecture them about making more money than the minimum wage during a so-called pandemic.
#463 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 255 weeks ago
"No scientific proof that masks work" says the idiots online. Next time you have a surgery, make sure you demand the physicians don't wash their hands or wear masks either.
Says the 15+ scientific journals I’ve read of both opposing and supporting views, the handful of scientific experts I’ve listened to extended videos with that comment on the disconcerting triumph of politics over science in the scientific community.
Nice straw man, ad-hominem combo though.
You fit the Dunning Kruger criteria to a tee. Not smart enough to realize how dumb you are and when pressed on your nonsense you react like a child.
Who knew punks were so conformist?
#464 Re: Guns N' Roses » Greatest Hits Vinyl Reissue » 255 weeks ago
The past 5 years or so, the 'legacy acts' figured out that you could bring in decent money by unloading their vault in the form of remasters, anniversary editions, box sets, vinyl, etc.
You're not wrong generally but wrong specifically.
The other acts you mention have both more albums, more live performances, and more years of activity. Guns N' Roses has 1987-1994 and you could mount an argument that the year span is even further narrowed because they've always operated like a dysfunctional mom and pop operation. Some were recorded but not professionally or psuedo-professionally. They can sweeten them but there's only so much you can do.
We already know of a good chunk of B-Sides, recording sessions, etc. for the 1987-1994 era. They're not going to be pulling very many rabbits out of hats. And in the case of Metallica, they're still an active band. They put out documentaries, new albums, live releases, etc. Hetfield isn't nixing YouTube freebies or Grammy appearances because he doesn't like his gut or his double chin.
The above is the reason for: (1) the slow trickle (2) the AFD box set pricing and (3) the soon-to-be re-released Greatest Hits.
In reverse order, the reason Greatest Hits is the 2004 release plus "Shadow of Your Love" is because to release either a new single CD Greatest Hits CD with a reworked track listing or a double CD Very Best of would cannibalize future releases, i.e. the UYI box set you mentioned. To call "Shadow" a hit is such a piece of odious propaganda it cannot be taken seriously on it's face, even if you curve for the modern era of streams over radio plays, etc.
The AFD box set is and was their only significant card to play (not including finished post '94-pre '97 material). Everything is diminishing returns from there. They were perfectly happy to let the market set the price because most people don't give a fuck about listening to alternative versions of a near flawless album, so pack it with stupid reprint flyers and get what you can out of it. I can't say that I love all of Pink Floyd's legacy releases but between the band's artistic effort in their glory days and the work they did remix and remastering, to a good chunk of that specific fanbase, they're worth the investment. And they're significantly cheaper than the Locked N' Loaded abomination.
And who is minding the store? The guy who thought Caram Costanzo was better at his job than Andy Wallace and the guy who thought a no-prenup deal with a former pimp was a good idea. And again, not to beat a dead horse even though sometimes I feel like I'm beating a dead horse, even if this rogues gallery got off their ass and had the business savvy to get an operation off the ground, they'd be subject to their corporate masters' beck and call, i.e., they don't have the latitude to operate independently and get things to market quickly.
TL;DR:
Waggy out
#465 Re: Guns N' Roses » Greatest Hits Vinyl Reissue » 256 weeks ago
We saw it happen in 2008 with Azoff.
I'm not denying the merits of professional management.
But I am questioning the only thing that matters: economics. And the only variable that matters: Axl.
The once fertile market of album exclusives has dried up, most acts struggle to break even, and the major successful acts have taught their fans to consume their products with an insatiable appetite, most times with a variety of corporate sponsors and product tie-ins. They're young, sexy. They play the game. Axl, contrarily, is an iconoclastic and obstinate old dog. Good on him to an extent but it is what it is. He's happy resting on his laurels to live comfortably in his golden years.
The economy has been bad and will only get worse. Stores will shutter, less movies will go into production. The shallow pool of revenue streams will continue to dry up. Guns N' Roses will consistently fall to the bottom of UMG's list of important acts for asset allocation.
Where's the money in Gn'R? Tours, like we all know. The single as promotional tool works. New albums? Not so much. Especially for the long dormant giant that is Guns N' Roses. In short, the bulk of the money is in the past which makes it all the more questionable how they re-release Greatest Hits instead of giving their fans something "new" to purchase. If only to validate their censorship spree the past couple of years.
Axl isn't likely going to renegotiate with the record company to give them tour profits for album release promises. It's half why he fell out with Azoff in the first place. And no manager is going to want to work for Axl knowing his past and knowing that his function will solely as functionary to get old albums released. There's no money in that.
Axl would have to again take the path of most resistance to even get an album released. And judging by his past, that's not going to happen. He's always been too comfortable, doubly so when there's money in his boot. In all probability, if we get anything, it'll be "Hard School" and then maybe followed by "Atlas Shrugged", and something like "Oklahoma" at the start of each leg of the tour in 2021 and 2022, if it happens at all. See: economy. The absolute bottom of the barrel, mass-market paperback stuff that scratches the itch of nostalgia.
A new album would, I think, release Gn'R from their contract with UMG but UMG would still own the masters. So even under the most optimistic of scenarios, Axl would be hamstrung by whether or not UMG wanted to release that material. This lineup of Guns is not releasing let alone performing the likes of "Zodiac" and "The General". It's off brand. And probably half the vault material Axl can't even sing anymore anyway. The only way these see the light of day is if Axl buys back the masters and splits the baby like King Solomon and reforms and rebrands New GN'R under it's own act. Try holding your breath for Jesus, I hear the payoff is that much greater.
And finally, let's go to Axl. He's doubled down on Caram as mixer and himself as producer with "Shadow of Your Love". An equally overproduced abnormality as the 2008 version of "Chinese Democracy". He's clearly learned nothing. You think he's let go of his control issues? His addiction to the apex fallacy? You think he's willing to take anything back to formula, get back into the studio, and work with an outside producer? There's a Uyghur-made bridge in China I'd like to sell you...
The sad reality is in theory this is all very do-able. Get a good manager, get off your ass, and go try to make it happen. But an object at rest tends to stay at rest, this not even considering the aforementioned issues with the record company and more importantly the economy itself.
It's dead, Jim. Err, James.
All we're doing here is chasing ghosts.
#466 Re: Guns N' Roses » Greatest Hits Vinyl Reissue » 256 weeks ago
I'd love to see the alternate universe where the band has proper management.
Same but the ship has sailed.
And the dysfunction will always spring from the top. Functional and effective people generally make functional and effective decisions.
It would've have been easy to drop both this boring yawnfest and Live Era or any live show at the same time. People would be happy to drop another $20-30. These are the people that buy Funko Pop toys and other plastic nonsense after all.
But instead we get the slow drip because of the incompetent management and probably the weird idea that there's somehow a more profitable future market than maximizing earning potential in the present.
#467 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 256 weeks ago
Wagszilla wrote:Two old guys that fit risk factors. Dark irony there for sure.
"Two old guys" who went about telling people that this is a hoax and nothing to worry about. 1 of whom's staffers was still tweeting that it was a hoax after their boss had been hospital for weeks, who then died the next day.
The virus itself isn't a hoax but it's been overblown, politicized, and manipulated.
I don't follow these neocon loons or their left wing corollaries so I can't comment on everything they say.
But this very thread is knocking right wing partisanship and cult like behavior and then SLCPunk for example is going off about "the science" when the actual science says masks are ineffectual. So you get a political discourse that is the equivalent of two bitchy teenage girls hand fighting each other and gossipping behind each others backs, which would be fine for regular Joes and Jills, but this is promoted behavior in the media and government itself.
Charlie Kirk may be a dip shit for example but he's right about masks. Cain may have promoted misinformation, I'm not familiar with all his comments like I said, but his comment about the credibility crisis of the media and government is accurate. But most people can't separate the wheat from the chaff because their political enemies say it and whenever misfortune small or large occurs, it's merely an opportunity to dunk on said political enemies.
It's toxic, childish, and a sad comment on the state of the species.
#468 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 256 weeks ago
This is all you are to the system.
Stay busy fighting. Never question. Just argue.
Can you see your strings?
Go back to sleep.
#469 Re: Guns N' Roses » Greatest Hits Vinyl Reissue » 256 weeks ago
"People are stupid and you can sell them anything" -Riad
#470 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 256 weeks ago
lol
Two old guys that fit risk factors. Dark irony there for sure.
But sure, cite "science", which in all likelihood you haven't read.
MSM are parrots. These people have no brains and their whole job consists of the manufacture of drama, consent, outrage.
I've read 15+ journals in full and several abstracts. All with flawed premise, flawed methodology, and even the most pro-mask abstracts admit they're ineffectual and only a psychological reaction. Several scientific experts have even come out in criticism of the politicization of the virus and the perversion of real science.
But go off kings.
Stay scared.